Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000820 0.000853 0.000887 0.000923 0.000962 0.001002 0.001047
2025-10-19 0.000759 0.000808 0.000858 0.000915 0.000978 0.001045 0.001123
2025-10-26 0.000711 0.000769 0.000832 0.000905 0.000987 0.001079 0.001188
2025-11-02 0.000679 0.000745 0.000819 0.000905 0.001007 0.001122 0.001264
2025-11-09 0.000646 0.000718 0.000798 0.000895 0.001011 0.001146 0.001318
2025-11-16 0.000617 0.000693 0.000779 0.000885 0.001013 0.001166 0.001366
2025-11-23 0.000606 0.000687 0.000781 0.000898 0.001044 0.001221 0.001458
2025-11-30 0.000590 0.000675 0.000774 0.000901 0.001060 0.001259 0.001530
2025-12-07 0.000569 0.000656 0.000758 0.000890 0.001059 0.001272 0.001571
2025-12-14 0.000549 0.000636 0.000740 0.000876 0.001052 0.001279 0.001601
2025-12-21 0.000533 0.000622 0.000728 0.000869 0.001054 0.001296 0.001646
2025-12-28 0.000507 0.000593 0.000698 0.000837 0.001021 0.001265 0.001622
2026-01-04 0.000494 0.000582 0.000689 0.000833 0.001027 0.001285 0.001673
2026-01-11 0.000483 0.000572 0.000681 0.000830 0.001033 0.001307 0.001727
2026-01-18 0.000470 0.000560 0.000671 0.000823 0.001032 0.001320 0.001768
2026-01-25 0.000462 0.000553 0.000667 0.000824 0.001044 0.001350 0.001836
2026-02-01 0.000451 0.000541 0.000656 0.000816 0.001041 0.001359 0.001872
2026-02-08 0.000439 0.000530 0.000645 0.000807 0.001036 0.001366 0.001904
2026-02-15 0.000437 0.000530 0.000649 0.000819 0.001063 0.001418 0.002013
2026-02-22 0.000431 0.000525 0.000647 0.000821 0.001075 0.001450 0.002090
2026-03-01 0.000421 0.000514 0.000636 0.000811 0.001069 0.001453 0.002120
2026-03-08 0.000410 0.000503 0.000624 0.000799 0.001059 0.001450 0.002136
2026-03-15 0.000402 0.000495 0.000616 0.000793 0.001058 0.001460 0.002178